Tuesday, March 10, 2009

College Sports Betting Rule #2 | Don't Bet on Your Favorite Team

Time for successful college sports betting rule #2 - do not bet on your favorite college sports teams. Rule number one discussed how terrible the odds are for parlays and how if you want to win money betting on sports you should not bet on parlays. If you follow these rules, I won't guarantee that you'll make money betting on college sports, but I will guarantee that you at least won't throw it away foolishly.

On to the rule. If you are any bit of a college sports fan like I am, you can't help but take a look at the betting line for your favorite teams whenever they are playing. And if you are like me, you can't help but talk your way into convincing yourself that your team is not only going to win, but is going to cover as well. And that is exactly why you should not bet on your favorite team. That, and the nightmare scenario happens more often than not.

Betting on college sports is an art, not a science. The last thing you need is something like team loyalty clouding your judgment. And what inevitably happens when you bet on your team is disappointment and heartbreak. When you bet on your college sports team and they are a favorite, invariably three things can happen: (1) they can win and cover the spread; (2) they can win and not cover the spread; and (3) they can lose (and not cover the spread). In this scenario, only one result actually allows you to feel good about your team, even if they win. And trust me on this, if they win and don't cover the spread, it is not the same as if they win and do cover the spread.

The other scenario happens if your team is the underdog. Three things can happen here: (1) they can lose and not cover the spread; (2) they can lose and cover the spread; and (3) they can win (and cover the spread). Would you really feel good if your team lost and covered the spread, winning you a little cash? Imagine at the end of the game getting pissed at a missed field goal that results in your team losing by 23 instead of 20. It's a dirty dirty feeling.

So just stay away. There are plenty of great opportunities with the college basketball lines and college football lines to find great odds without betting on your favorite college team. The only situation I could see betting on my own team is if they are an underdog and I picked them to win. But even then I harbor a little bit of resentment if they don't produce a winning bet. The magic and fun of the game itself is lost.

Now that you've been exposed to another successful sports betting rule, I'll give you my picks of the day. Yesterday I went 1-2, and probably shouldn't have bet on the games I did (another rule I have is that it is okay to bet if there are no good bets out there). That puts my college basketball sports betting picks record to 10-9-2. Not bad. Still cash flow positive, which is nice.

Here are my college basketball picks of the day, although the pickings are slim:

Georgetown vs. St. Johns (+7) - my pick is Georgetown for one unit. This is the first round of the Big East tournament and Georgetown is by far the better team. Hopefully they show it today.

Rutgers vs. Notre Dame (-10) - my pick is Notre Dame for one unit. Again, first round of Big East college men's basketball tournament. Again Notre Dame is by far the better team. They should cover relatively easily.

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Have any questions are comments about college sports betting? Please leave a comment and we can discuss.

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